Top Correlations
Event odds against a correlated asset, ranked by the absolute 30-day correlation of daily changes. A negative r means the asset has tended to fall when the odds rise.
- 01Fed cut at the next meeting ↔ TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF · Kalshi · Macro0.86
- 02CPI above 3% this print ↔ TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF · Kalshi · Macro−0.81
- 03Payrolls beat consensus ↔ SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust · Polymarket · Macro0.77
- 04CPI above 3% this print ↔ GLDSPDR Gold Shares · Kalshi · Macro0.74
- 05Fed cut at the next meeting ↔ SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust · Kalshi · Macro0.72
- 06Payrolls beat consensus ↔ QQQInvesco QQQ Trust · Polymarket · Macro0.68
- 07Senate stays with the same party ↔ SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust · Polymarket · Politics0.66
- 08Fed cut at the next meeting ↔ QQQInvesco QQQ Trust · Kalshi · Macro0.64
- 09CPI above 3% this print ↔ SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust · Kalshi · Macro−0.63
- 10Payrolls beat consensus ↔ TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF · Polymarket · Macro−0.61
- 11Senate stays with the same party ↔ QQQInvesco QQQ Trust · Polymarket · Politics0.58
- 12Fed cut at the next meeting ↔ GLDSPDR Gold Shares · Kalshi · Macro0.57
- 13CPI above 3% this print ↔ IWMiShares Russell 2000 ETF · Kalshi · Macro−0.55
- 14Payrolls beat consensus ↔ IWMiShares Russell 2000 ETF · Polymarket · Macro0.54
- 15Senate stays with the same party ↔ TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF · Polymarket · Politics−0.53
- 16Fed cut at the next meeting ↔ USOUnited States Oil Fund · Kalshi · Macro−0.52
- 17Senate stays with the same party ↔ GLDSPDR Gold Shares · Polymarket · Politics0.51
- 18Senate stays with the same party ↔ USOUnited States Oil Fund · Polymarket · Politics0.50