Kalshi · Macro

CPI above 3% this print

Latest odds move: 40% → 47% +7 pts in 30m

Each line is scaled to its own range so the shapes can be compared. Daily points, then the latest print.

Correlated assets

Expected move, actual move, and the gap are in the Pro view.

Correlated assets for CPI above 3% this print. r and beta use 30 days of daily changes. Moves are since the latest odds move began. Gap is expected minus actual.
Asset	r, 30d	Beta, %/pt	Expected	Actual	Gap
TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF	−0.81	−0.188	Locked in Free	Locked in Free	Locked in Free
GLDSPDR Gold Shares	0.74	0.257	Locked in Free	Locked in Free	Locked in Free
SPYSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust	−0.63	−0.194	Locked in Free	Locked in Free	Locked in Free
IWMiShares Russell 2000 ETF	−0.55	−0.254	Locked in Free	Locked in Free	Locked in Free